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MAY 18, 2011 SPEAKING OF POLLS AND THE PRESIDENCY – AT 11:28 P.M. ET: No matter how many times he says he's not running, New Jersey Governor Chris Christie is repeatedly mentioned by the Great Mentioner, and is the choice of many Republicans looking for a dynamic candidate. But Christie is running into some headwinds at home. He's a great governor, and great governors – those who make the tough decisions – will make enemies. He has a hard-charging personality that may not wear well over time. From the New York Post:
COMMENT: This will not dent the enthusiasm for Christie among national Republicans, but it is a warning sign. Most Americans don't know Christie, and his very un-presidential style – some would say it's boxing ring lite – may turn off those unfamiliar with the superb manner in which he's tackled New Jersey's problems. May 18, 2011 Permalink GUTSY OR NOT GUTSY, THAT IS THE QUESTION – AT 9:07 P.M. ET: The hype machine that went into action after the bin Laden raid described President Obama's decision to approve the raid as a "gutsy call," this apparently to portray the commander-in-chief as a bit tougher than your average community organizer. But many Americans beg to differ, as Fox reports in a new poll:
However, the president's overall rating has improved, showing how tough it will be to bring him down in next year's election.
COMMENT: The fact is, presidents have at their disposal the power to make decisions and take actions that can improve their poll ratings, sometimes enough to win an election. This president, trained in Chicago politics, knows that elections are about winning, not about theoretical positions. His ratings are likely to settle down after the bin Laden glow runs its course. But don't be surprised if the Obama political operation has other tricks to pull. Contrast please with a Republican Party trying to find a candidate who can arouse some enthusiasm instead of mild approval. There are 308 million people in America. There's got to be someone. If he's underage, we can use makeup and lighting. May 18, 2011 Permalink GREAT WORK – AT 9:09 A.M. ET: We love to celebrate American achievement here. And one of the great corporate achievements in recent memory is the resurrection of Apple Computer. The company was dying only 15 years ago, before it brought back its co-founder, Steve Jobs, and let him dream. Now Apple is considered one of the leading American brand names. And nothing symbolizes that better than the Apple Store, which will be ten years old tomorrow.
COMMENT: I visit our local Apple Store often. It is always jammed. There's a SONY store in the same mall, and it gets little traffic. Apple just has the dynamic of style and innovation written all over it. It also has the sense to hire tech wizards who stand at something called the Genius Bar, and give free technical help to all Apple owners. Have a dream, take a risk. It's the story of free enterprise. It doesn't always work out. In this case, it worked out spectacularly. Congratulations to Steve Jobs and Apple for establishing an American institution. May 18, 2011 Permalink
OH REALLY? Germany is, presumably, one of our most loyal allies. But there are some in Germany who clearly don't see it that way. This story, from Spiegel International, is disturbing:
Apparently, Germany sees German Islamists in Pakistan as pretty much the same as other German citizens.
COMMENT: This is complete craziness. It reflects the self-righteous streak in German politics, which exists to help the country live down its past. The left in Germany is particularly hypocritical, and has a soft spot for enemies of the United States. Angela Merkel has been a good friend to this country. But there are others in Germany who want to chart a more independent course. Part of that course has been to continue a substantial trade with Iran and to value economic interests in the Mideast above democracy. Germany may well be slipping into old patterns. It will end up losing. May 18, 2011 Permalink SIGN OF A CRISIS – AT 8:28 A.M. ET: A few days ago we wrote of the Republican dilemma – the fact that the party has such strengths, is poised to do well next year, but lacks a presidential candidate who can take on the campaigning skills of Barack Obama. The GOP establishment is increasingly aware of the problem, and is looking for a man on a white horse, or a Harley, or anything with wheels. From The Politico:
Boy, is that ever correct. Daniels has been a fine governor. He might make a fine president. But he's never been accused of being Mr. Excitement. I was part of a small group in New York that heard him speak last year. Believe me, if Mitch Daniels gave a speech in a cemetery, the residents would become more dead.
They have every right to be, and there is no known therapy for the problem, except an unavailable one with the name Reagan. Daniels will bring administrative and economic skills to the race, but how he plays outside Indiana is a serious question mark. He has some personal marital baggage and no known foreign policy. Republicans have a high mountain to climb in the 2012 presidential race. Obama, with all his presidential failures, is a superb campaigner. The process on the GOP side has got to be thrown wide open, with careful consideration given to young, spirited leaders, part of the next generation. We need that generation now. We cannot wait. May 18, 2011 Permalink INTRODUCIN' – AT 7:52 A.M. ET: We thought we'd report this so you know where to send your congratulations and gifts. From CNN:
I can understand that. You always want someone to look up to, and someone who knows how to fly planes into buildings.
COMMENT: One of the great myths that some have lived by is that Al Qaeda was about bin Laden. Al Qaeda is about an ideology, and Americans still haven't absorbed the implications of that ideology. In part this is due to the nature of mainstream media reporting, which emphasizes what people are against, rather than what they're for. Recall that, after 9-ll, some American hand-wringers wandered around asking, "Why do they hate us?" It's one of those questions the left loves to ask, for it puts the focus on our alleged sins. What we should have been asking is, "What do these people stand for? What kind of world do they want?" If we apply those questions to the current "revolutions" in the Arab world, the answers that come back can be pretty frightening. Al Qaeda survives bin Laden because its ideology drives it. May 18, 2011 Permalink
MAY 17, 2011 GETTING IT RIGHT – AT 10:58 P.M. ET: Every now and then our State Department gets it exactly right, and we're glad to praise Hillary Clinton for getting this exactly right. What, precisely, did she do to win such praise? She openly, and I hope with malice aforethought, snubbed an international group that arrogantly calls itself "the elders," and is headed by elder-clown Jimmy Carter. From Foreign Policy:
And...
COMMENT: Cheers for Hillary. Maybe the elders can get their own unreality show on MSNBC. May 17, 2011 Permalink RYAN UPDATE – AT 5:47 P.M. ET: Updating our 9:01 A.M. post on Paul Ryan, he has now formally decided against running for the Senate in Wisconsin next year. From Fox:
COMMENT: I disagree with the decision, but I'm not him. May 17, 2011 Permalink HOW THINGS WORK – AT 10:44 A.M. ET: Every now and then we're reminded of how things work in the real political world. Today's reminder comes from the Daily Caller:
COMMENT: Where today's liberals play and dine. What a role reversal we've had in the last four decades of American politics. At one time the well-heeled were GOP all the way, and it wasn't always pretty. Today the average Joe often finds that the Republican Party reflects his values, but that the Dems are well represented among the upper crust. Nancy Pelosi represents a money-talks district, and money talks loudly in politics, especially around election time, when campaigns need it. She uses her clout the way every other politician uses it. No hope and change there. So, out of 435 House districts, hers gets 20% of the Obamacare waivers. That's fair, isn't it? May 17, 2011 Permalink ATTENTION ON THE WIVES – AT 9:15 A.M. ET: There's a great deal of attention around the internet today on political wives. They are an important factor in politics, the more so when their relationship with their husbands are complicated and possibily controversial. This is underlined by the disclosure by former Governor Arnold Schwarznegger of California that he fathered a child a decade agao with a member of his household staff, and that this was a major factor in the decision of his wife, Maria Shriver, to leave him. Arnold has now profusely apologized.
Arnold is a former governor, and probably out of politics forever. But two potential presidential candidates also have "complicated" personal lives that can affect their candidacies, as The Politico notes:
COMMENT: It may be unfair, even trivial, to consider such matters when we're discussing affairs of state, but, bottom line, they matter. As we keep on stressing here, it isn't enough to be qualified to be president. You've got to get to be president, and a messy home life can shave off enough points to send you back to the old family home. You probably recall the debate, strange at times, over whether the Monica Lewinsky affair was important in considering the administration of Bill Clinton. Yes, it was important. We don't have royalty in America, and the president is chief of state, the personal symbol of the government. The White House is the people's house, not the president's house, and we have a right to expect a certain level of deportment in the chief executive. This is not decadent Europe. We can, perhaps with dread, look forward to many personal revelations as the months pass. President Roosevelt's affair with Lucy Mercer came out decades after FDR's death. Today we get the news earlier. I don't know which is better. May 17, 2011 Permalink (Editor's note: The following post was re-edited following valuable suggestions from readers Bruce Goldman and Don Newell.) EYES ON RYAN – AT 9:01 A.M. ET: Political eyes are on Congressman Paul Ryan of Wisconsin, a rapidly rising GOP star. There's now a Senate seat opening in his state for the 2012 election. Other Republicans, including former Governor Tommy Thompson, are expressing interest, but they're deferring to the very hot (politically) Mr. Ryan. But Ryan, disappointingly, may not jump. From The Politico:
We noted this a few days ago. A Ryan candidacy might match him against former liberal Senator Russ Feingold, who was defeated for reelection last November. It would be a classic match, pitting two highly respected figures with distinct ideologies. However, Ryan may not move at all.
It's pointed out that Ryan is involved in a bitter battle to defend his concept for reshaping Medicare, and is unlikely to walk away from it for a Senate race. My own feeling is that Ryan is making a misjudgment. His Medicare reform package, with its emphasis on private health insurers, is highly flawed and politically toxic. Americans have not responded well to it. He might want to deemphasize that part of his proposed budget package, which is courageous and well timed. At the same time, no House committee chairmanship compares to the stature of a seat in the U.S. Senate. The Senate is seen as a place from which you can go directly to the presidency. Although many presidents have served in the House, virtually all have done something after their House service to make them notable enough to be viewed as a future president. Ryan should understand that his current budget proposals will carry greater weight, and attract more attention, if they came from a senator. That may be unfair, of course. As longtime reader Don Newell writes in a letter to us today, a proposal should be judged by its own worth. However, in our media-driven universe, senators just get more attention. I'm afraid that if Ryan passes on the Senate race, in favor of month-to-month wonkery in the House, he'll eventually be seen as a small-time numbers cruncher rather than a statesman. Time to grow. May 17, 2011 Permalink ALLIANCE THREATENED – AT 8:49 A.M. ET: One of the many things that Barack Obama has mishandled has been our critical alliance with Britain. Now the chickens, or the bulldogs, are coming home to roost, as London's Telegraph reports:
COMMENT: The British withdrawal is disappointing. We expected better of Cameron, who has shown real gutsiness in the Mideast, far more so than Obama has shown. However, we must ask this question: Why should the Brits stick their necks out when Obama himself is promising large American withdrawals? The Osama bin Laden raid was a one-shot, and its glow is already fading. What is left is an uncertain, unenthusiastic American policy toward Afghanistan, informed at least in part by Obama's need to show his left-wing base what he has done to "end the war," no matter how poorly it ends. And Obama's attitude toward Britain has been at best aloof, starting with his gratuitious return to the British of a bust of Winston Churchill that had graced the Oval Office. Our enemies study these alliances. They must be delighted. May 17, 2011 Permalink
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