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WEDNESDAY, MAY 19, 2010 ABSOLUTE OUTRAGE – AT 8:37 P.M. ET: It is hard to be shocked at one more revelation of the kind of extremist hired by the Obama administration, but this is pretty disgraceful. From The Politico:
Posner is the proverbial useful idiot. He has a long history in left-wing interest groups. He should not hold the position he holds. But is anyone surprised? Posner is just the latest lefty to be outed.
COMMENT: I suspect that McCain and Kyl will be ignored, but they should not let the matter drop. This gent works for Hillary Clinton, and she should be called on the carpet and made to explain why, in a nation of 306 million, we can't find a better guy for the job. May 19, 2010 Permalink OBAMA'S MISSING CLOUT – AT 7:55 P.M. ET: One of the things commentators are noting about yesterday's voting is that President Obama didn't seem able to influence much of it. From Fox News:
COMMENT: Endorsements, even from presidents, are generally overrated. And newspaper and celebrity endorsements are definitely overrated. But this president seems uncommonly weak as a persuader in races other than his own. Does this mean anything for 2012? I don't think anyone knows yet. Obama, polls show, is clearly vulnerable, but you can't beat somebody with nobody, and right now the Republican presidential field is nobody. Squared. May 19, 2010 Permalink BLUMEY, WE HARDLY KNEW YE – AT 7:33 P.M. ET: The Senate race in Connecticut moved closer to being competitive, in the light of revelations that the probable Dem candidate told lies about his military record. From the New York Post:
You'd think that Blumenthal would have already collapsed completely in the polls, but it's possible some voters aren't yet familiar with his newly discovered fiction writing. Also, in the western part of the state, they may not care all that much. These are the wealthy suburbs around New York, who practice a kind of Dracula liberalism – they knife each other in business during the day, then come out as great progressives at night. A little lying may not bother them, especially if it's about something as illiberal as military service.
Any honorable man who's been caught lying about a military record would get out of the race. But men who lie about their military records aren't honorable. In the 1950s, a Utah Republican congressman named Douglas Stringfellow was caught lying about his World War II record. He was forced to resign from Congress, and had to take jobs under an assumed name. Times have changed, haven't they? May 19, 2010 Permalink CONFRONTATION WITH IRAN – AT 9:12 A.M. ET: Events involving the Iranian nuclear program are proceeding rapidly. On Monday a sham agreement was announced by Turkey and Brazil, two pals of Iran, that was intended to show Iranian "cooperation," and ward off new UN sanctions. We weren't buying. Secretary Clinton must be commended for her quick reaction to Monday's announcement. Yesterday, the US announced that China and Russia had agreed to a new sanctions statement to be taken up by the Security Council. Look, we're less than enthusiastic. Any sanctions regime that has the support of Russia and China is going to be weak and full of holes. But at least we didn't succumb to the pressure to put off talk of sanctions because of the Turkey/Brazil "breakthrough." That "breakthrough" is pretty much a dead issue, only two days after it was unveiled. But we still have major problems. The Security Council could still balk. It could weaken a new sanctions agreement even further. And what it does will probably not matter a bit to a determined Iran:
COMMENT: Well, you can easily see the holes. These sanctions are better than nothing, but they're the nearest thing to nothing. Our Iran policy is failing. The Iranian centrifuges are spinning. By this time next year we'll be hearing a great deal about the wonders of containment of a nuclear Iran. May 19, 2010 Permalink THE LARGER WORLD – AT 8:55 A.M. ET: There's a world outside American politics, although American politics will always affect it. The South Koreans have made a definitive statement regarding the recent sinking of their warship. From The Washington Post:
COMMENT: The evidence presented in the story is compelling, but what will be the result? China, North Korea's main ally, has veto power in the Security Council. And if the world hasn't acted strongly against North Korea's nuclear program, which continues, why should we think it will act in response to a ship sinking? The key nation here, as always, is the United States. Our wobbly foreign policy will be no source of strength to South Korea. Action can be taken outside the U.N., but will we approve, or will we, in the name of "outreach," simply let the matter slip? My guess, and it must be labeled as speculation, is that we will let things slip, maybe calling for more "discussions," or simply make a stern speech at the U.N. and leave it at that. A record has consequences, and the Obama record of the last 16 months flashes a signal of weakness. Why would North Korea be afraid? May 19, 2010 Permalink A GENERATIONAL FAILURE – AT 8:11 A.M. ET: We turn our attention to Richard Blumenthal, only recently the fair-haired attorney general of Connecticut and sure-thing Democratic Senate candidate to succeed Chris Dodd. Now Blumey is under a cloud, and the cloud isn't passing by. Blumenthal has clearly lied about his service record, having claimed or implied, on many occasions, that he served in Vietnam when in fact he was a Marine reservist who'd accepted multiple deferments. Even The New York Times, in an editorial, has expressed dismay over Blumenthal's deception. When The Times expresses dismay over a liberal, that's the Earth moving. In a provocative op-ed, also in The Times, former Republican Senator Larry Pressler of South Dakota, analyzes Blumenthal's generation, and finds his behavior disturbingly typical:
I'm glad this issue is coming out.
Pressler is dead on, and his argument can be expanded. Much of the "idealism" of the late sixties was self-serving. Some feminists were idealistic and women of integrity, but others were simply advancing legal or writing careers. Believe me, I knew them. Most African-Americans saw the civil rights movement as, correctly, noble and needed to remove a stain on our society. Some, sadly, used the movement to advance their personal political power. We saw this, painfully, in New York, where a huge dispute over who would control the great New York City school system was really a debate over who would have patronage power over the schools, not a debate over improving education.
Because the "intellectual" world is so stacked with those on the left, we haven't had a true academic examination of the hypocrisy that was (and is) rampant in the sixties generation. It is long overdue, and will enlighten us about the behavior of some of today's leaders. May 19, 2010 Permalink AFTERMATH – AT 7:44 A.M. ET: So now that yesterday's vote has been counted, what happened? Well, not much really. There will be all kinds of analyses this morning, but they're meaningless. The vote went pretty much according to the polling. The only surprise, and it wasn't much of one, was that Republican Tim Burns didn't pick up John Murtha's seat in western Pennsylvania, which would have been big news. The Democrat, Mark Critz, a Murtha employee, squeezed in with a narrow victory in a district that's 2-1 Democratic. Democrats will point to this as a famous victory, but Critz's vote percentage – in the low 50s at last count – isn't famous. Michael Barone points out that many traditional, somewhat conservative Democrats didn't come out to vote in the 12th. These are the people that Republicans are counting on to help in November, but Barone warns that they simply may not vote, and Republicans should not count on them. That's good advice. Joe Sestak, the newly minted Dem candidate for the Senate in PA, is obnoxious, but will be tougher for our guy, Pat Toomey, to beat than Arlen Specter. Sestak, as we've noted, is a former Navy vice admiral (the wrong men sometimes get promoted), who refuses to man up and admit that he was pressured out of the Navy because of personality conflicts. Indeed, he's said that he left the Navy because of his daughter's illness – a disgusting use of a child's health to mask the truth. But that's Joe. Also obnoxious is the GOP candidate for the Senate in Kentucky, Rand Paul, whom we cannot support. The son of extremist Ron Paul, Rand is less nutty but nutty enough. His foreign- and defense-policy views, on the fringe left, are simply unacceptable, period. Dick Cheney warned about him, but the GOP voters of Kentucky, to their discredit, weren't listening. Paul claims the support of tea partiers. When they learn more about him, they may start drinking hemlock rather than tea. In Arkansas, Sen. Blanche Lincoln was forced into a runoff by Lt. Gov. Bill Halter, who ran to her left and had the support of the usual leftist suspects. Should be a GOP pickup in November. The big lesson is from Pennsylvania's 12th C.D.: Republicans must not be overconfident. There's been a lot of GOP strutting recently. There's an election in November. Save the strut for the next day. Earn the strut beforehand. May 19, 2010 Permalink
TUESDAY, MAY 18, 2010 11:59 P.M. ET: The major races have been decided. We'll be back in the morning with some reflections. 11:42 P.M. ET: CNN is projecting that Arkansas Lt. Gov. Bill Halter has forced Democratic Senator Blanche Lincoln into a runoff, hardly a vote of confidence in an incumbent senator. 10:50 P.M. ET: News organizations are now calling Pennsylvania's 12th. C.D. for Mark Critz, the Democrat, who is heading for a comfortable victory. This is a major disappointment for Republicans, who thought they had a shot to take over the seat held by John Murtha. However, the district is 2-1 Democratic, and conservative Democratic. Critz ran far to the right of the Obama administration, making him ideologically acceptable. By doing so, he may have provided a blueprint for other Democrats hoping to survive in November. 10:38 P.M. ET: Other news organizations have now called the Pennsylvania Dem primary for Sestak. Specter is retired. No call yet in Pennsylvania's 12th, or in the Dem Senate primary in Arkansas. 10:15 P.M. ET: Associated Press has called the Pennsylvania Democratic Senate primary for Sestak. I suspect other news organizations won't be far behind. Now we have to get behind Pat Toomey to defeat Sestak in November, but it will not be easy. This is a time for fighting. 10:03 P.M. ET: It's 52-48 for Sestak in the vote count in Pennsylvania. Sestak continues to gain. Unless something really unusual happens, he will be the Democratic nominee for the Senate, facing Pat Toomey. But stand by. Big disappointment appears to be building for Republicans in Pennsylvania's 12th, where Mark Critz has a strong lead over Republican Tim Burns. Most commentators now believe that Critz's lead will be impossible to overcome, but we won't give up just yet. This is, of course, not a primary, but a special election to fill the seat left vacated by the death of John Murtha. 9:49 P.M. ET: With 21% of the vote counted in Pennsylvania's 12th, the Dem, Mark Critz, leads the Republican, Tim Burns, 58-40. Not a great start, but let's wait. 9:41 P.M. ET: With 30% in, it's 50-50 between Specter and Sestak. Trend is toward Sestak, one of the truly obnoxious candidates in recent history. No further results for Pennsylvania's 12th, but commentators are talking as if the Dem may pull it out, ending a GOP dream. We'll see. The night is young. 9:26 P.M. ET: Pennsylvania tightens. With 19% in, Specter leads 52-48. Spot checks around the state, however, do not look good for Specter. First results from Pennsylvania's 12th C.D. show the Dem, Mark Critz, well ahead in the race to succeed the permanently dead John Murtha. However, these are miniscule results. Observers expect a photo finish. 9:15 P.M. ET: Early returns in Pennsylvania: With 14% of the vote in, Specter leads Sestak, 54% to 46%. However, these results are probably heavily weighted toward Philadelphia. They don't mean much. Meanwhile, Pat Toomey has clinched the Republican Senate nomination, a foregone conclusion. 8:45 P.M. ET: Rand Paul is now speaking in Kentucky. I'm sorry to say his father, who should have stayed away, is on the platform with him. It reminds me of the time when Jack Kennedy ran for president, and there were serious questions about how far he would distance himself from his father, who'd been a fascist sympathizer. Rand Paul is now praising the tea party movement. Clearly, he sees himself as the popular head of that movement, which he is not. We hope Paul will moderate some of his foreign-policy views, which would take the GOP back to the 1930s. No applause from this quarter. 8:35 P.M. ET: Polls have just closed in Arkansas, where vulnerable Democratic Senator Blanche Lincoln (no relation to the big Civil War guy) is facing a primary challenge. Re Pennsylvania: No results yet. 8:08 P.M. ET: Polls are now closed in Pennsylvania. We should be getting some early trends soon. 7:47 P.M. ET: CNN has just, unsurprisingly, called the Kentucky GOP Senate primary for Rand Paul. That is not good news. In a discussion on CNN moments ago, Paul Begala correctly pointed out, as we have here, that Paul is to the left of Barack Obama on foreign policy. This is a classic situation where a man's true views simply didn't penetrate the electorate. 7:30 P.M. ET: With 14% of the vote in Rand Paul leads Trey Grayson, 52% to 34% in the Kentucky GOP U.S. Senate primary. 7:02 P.M. ET: Rand Paul, who will probably win the Republican Senate nomination in Kentucky, has already scheduled a TV appearance for an hour from now. Paul is not our favorite guy here (to put it mildly). Although not as kooky as his father, Ron Paul, his foreign-policy views tend to reflect a leftist, not a conservative point of view. POLLS ARE NOW CLOSING IN KENTUCKY. WE'LL GO LIVE NOW AND STAY WITH THE VOTE COUNT. FURTHER CONNECTICUT UPDATE – AT 3:35 P.M. ET: It is simply amazing what a politician in trouble will say to salvage his career. We give you the continuing saga of one Richard Blumental, formerly respected attorney general of Connecticut, a shoo-in for the Democratic nomination for the U.S. Senate, who has now been exposed as lying about his military record. On many occasions, it seems, he left the distinct, incontrovertible impression that he had served in Vietnam. From The New York Times:
Isn't that nice. He takes responsibility for his own words.
Misplaced words? How do you misplace words like that? Is there a speech therapist in the house?
Are you believing this? This is a grown man speaking. ("You know, honey, I'm truly sorry that, on a small number of occasions, I misplaced my pants in my secretary's apartment. I was unaware of it. But compare that to the many hundreds of times my pants came home.") This guy has got to go. The Dems will choose their Senate candidate at a convention Saturday. Blumenthal's opponent is an unknown nonentity. The probable Republican candidate, former Congressman Rob Simmons, served in Vietnam, where he was awarded two Bronze Stars. May 18, 2010 Permalink THAT ARIZONA LAW – AT 11:14 A.M. ET: Do you want the best coverage of the controversial Arizona law on illegal immigration? Well, you won't get it from the mainstream media, which constantly distorts what the law says. And you won't get it from the attorney general of the United States, who admits that he hasn't read the law. But you will get it from the website of my friend Silvio Canto Jr., on whose radio show I often appear. Go here. You'll read more common sense on one page than you'll get in the rest of the media. Because Silvio knows the language, he can read the editorials in Mexican papers. Because he's an immigrant himself (from Cuba), he knows the rights and wrongs of immigration. You will like his perspective, which is based on actual knowledge, not political correctness. May 18, 2010 Permalink
CONNECTICUT UPDATE – AT 9:57 A.M. ET: We told you last night that the expected Connecticut Democratic candidate for the U.S. Senate, running to succeed Chris Dodd, has become enmeshed in a major scandal. He apparently intends to fight on. The state's attorney general, Richard Blumenthal, who expected to be crowned as Dem Senate candidate at a convention this Saturday, is accused of repeatedly falsifying his military record by claiming that he served in Vietnam, which he never did. The unmasking was done by The New York Times (to its credit), and there are reports that it received the lead from elements within the Republican Party. Blumenthal has scheduled a "rally" with veterans for tonight, apparently to try to counter the charges, although he doesn't deny them. (I don't know how you counter charges that you don't deny.) Even if he fights on and gets the nomination, the blume is certainly off the rose. He has only one opponent for the Dem nomination, a minor figure who comes out of the party's left wing and opposes the American effort in Afghanistan. In ordinary times, this would be no problem for Blumental. The Times have suddenly turned abnormal. This presents an opportunity for Republicans in a usually reliable blue state. It can be done. Remember Scott Brown. May 18, 2010 Permalink
COMMENT: Boehner did the right thing. You embarrass yourself and your party, you've got to go. Unless you're Bill Clinton. May 18, 2010 Permalink MARCO IS BACK – AT 9:08 A.M. ET: When Florida Governor Charlie Crist announced he was dropping out of the primary for the U.S. Senate, he got an immediate bounce in the polls. Surveys clearly showed he could win in a three-way race. That was then, this is now. Republican candidate Marco Rubio is gaining once more, ending Crist's bounce, and turning it into a slow roll downhill. From Scott Rasmussen:
COMMENT: It's a long time from now 'til November, but Rubio has demonstrated his staying power once more. Let's not get too comfortable, but we can at least be responsibly optimistic. May 18, 2010 Permalink
BUT THERE'S SO MUCH ELSE TO DO – AT 8:38 A.M. ET: Well, politically, this president may have a pretty good instinct for cutting his losses...and he faces losses. While he's endorsed some Dem candidates in today's races, his physical absence has been noted. From Fox News:
COMMENT: Under the bus they go, joining a whole platoon of former Obama friends, allies, even grandma. It must be a great party under there, ordering out for pizza, Chinese food, the whole thing. There's still room, and others will be invited. May 18, 2010 Permalink PRIMARY AND ELECTION DAY – AT 8:15 A.M. ET: This is being called Junior Super Tuesday in some quarters. Well, it isn't quite that, but it's a very important voting day. Two races in Pennsylvania are probably the most exciting: In the 12th C.D., a Republican, Tim Burns, has a good shot at taking over the seat held by the permanently deceased John Murtha, a Democratic icon, if an unstable one. Final polls show essentially a dead heat. And, of course, there's the race between two men whose personalities would repel even their mothers...and that's when they were in the womb. Sen. Arlen Specter, who has found only semi-love in the Democratic Party, to which he recently switched, is locked in a dead-heat primary race with Rep. Joe Sestak, former Navy vice admiral, whose ability to make enemies places him in the highly skilled labor force. May the least obnoxious man win. Well, actually, may the most obnoxious man win, so he'd be more easily beatable by GOP candidate Pat Toomey in November. In Arkansas, Democratic Senator Blanche Lincoln, who resembles a passenger on the Titanic, after it ran out of lifeboats, is in a primary race with the lieutenant governor of the state, Bill Halter, and another, distant candidate. Lincoln must get 50% to avoid a runoff. But, even if she survives, she is expected to be defeated in November, which would be a GOP pickup. In Kentucky, the Republicans will engage in one of their periodic suicide attempts by nominating he-ought-be-in-a-straitjacket Rand Paul, son of certifiable Ron Paul, instead of the far more solid Trey Grayson, endorsed by former Vice President Dick Cheney and practically the entire GOP leadership. This is an anti-establishment vote, but sometimes the establishment is right. Sadly, Paul has the support of the tea partiers, who have apparently never examined his extreme-left foreign-policy views. He also has the endorsement of Sarah Palin, who also didn't do her homework. If the Democrats play it right, they can defeat Paul in November. Stay with us tonight. May 18, 2010 Permalink
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