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TUESDAY, JUNE 8, 2010 WE'RE LIVE BLOGGING THE PRIMARY RETURNS IN KEY RACES. 12:39 a.m. ET: Sharron Angle has won the GOP Senate nomination in Nevada, and will face Harry Reid in November. As we've reported, many GOP strategists are uneasy with Angle, believing her an amateur with a loose mouth. She'll need coaching, but of course we wish her well. 12:32 a.m. ET: We are awaiting results from the Democratic primary in California's 36th congressional district, pitting veteran incumbent, and pro-defense Democrat Jane Harmon against political fringe operator Marcy Winograd. The California Democratic Party is very extreme, probably the most extreme "mainstream" party organization in the country. It produces nut cases like Maxine Waters and Pete Stark. Winograd is a "progressive" (read socialist, and probably Marxist) who, if elected, would become the new Cynthia McKinney. For example, she doesn't even believe Israel should exist. But Winograd is given a good chance of defeating Harmon, who pro-defense stand and grown-up approach to her job doesn't sit well with the later-day flower children of her district. We'll be watching. 12:24 a.m. ET: Sharron Angle is building up a strong lead in the GOP primary for U.S. Senate. With 45% of precincts reporting, Angle has 37.4% to Sue Lowden's 29.4%. Not all Republicans are jumping for joy at this, believing Angle, because of a certain kookiness, might not be the strongest candidate against Harry Reid in November. 12:17 a.m. ET: Carly Fiorina has won the Republican nomination for the Senate in California. She will oppose incumbent Democratic Senator Barbara Boxer, renowned for having a brain that operates on one cylinder. However, California is a Democratic state and Boxer is a fierce campaigner. This will be a tough, probably close race. Ironically, former Republican Congressman Tom Campbell, whom Fiorinia defeated, was running more strongly in the polls against Boxer than was Fiorina, but many Republicans considered him too moderate, and some past associations with pro-jihadist elements in the American Muslim community hurt him. 11:47 p.m. ET: Carly Fiorina is off to a commanding lead in the GOP Senate primary race in California. Money talks in the golden state, which requires huge campaign expenditures. Fiorina has the cash, as does Meg Whitman, who just won the GOP primary for governor. Not a great comment on our politics. Personal money ("buying the election") will probably become a campaign issue. 11:46 p.m. ET: Associated Press has just declared Meg Whitman, former CEO of Ebay, as the winner of the GOP primary for Governor of California. She will face former governor and 72-year-old elder statesman Jerry Brown in November. Ebay will be taking bids for the governor's mansion. (No, no, no.) 11:26 p.m. ET: Tea-party favorite Sharron Angle has a slight lead in the Nevada GOP Senate primary, with Sue Lowden just behind. Both candidates have about 34%. This is a complicated story. Angle has run a come-from-behind campaign, with vigorous tea-party support, but she is an untried candidate with a history of making kooky remarks. As former Pennsylvania Senator Rick Santorum said tonight on Fox News, she hasn't been fully vetted, which is not a compliment. The primary winner will face Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid. Conventional wisdom has it that Angle would be the easiest candidate for Reid to defeat. 11: 03 p.m. ET: Polls in California are just closing. We'll be looking at these races: The GOP gubernatorial primary; the GOP Senate primary; the GOP primary for secretary of state, where a "birther" candidate, who doubts President Obama's birth claims, is running, and is considered an embarrassment to the party, and a Democratic congressional primary pitting veteran pro-defense Congresswoman Jane Harmon against a real, genuine hard leftist, Marcy Winograd. 11:01 p.m. ET: BULLETIN: Associated Press is declaring Sen. Blanche Lincoln the winner in the Arkansas Democratic primary runoff for the U.S. Senate nomination, over Lt. Gov. Bill Halter. We'd said earlier that the trend was in Halter's favor, but that trend apparently wasn't enough to overcome Lincoln's small lead. Lincoln currently has 52%, Halter 48%. This is a major victory for "moderates" in the Democratic Party. Halter was backed by the strong-arm tactics of leftist groups and public-employee unions, who essentially created his candidacy as a means of punishing Lincoln because of suspicion of moderation. That Halter came so close in a moderate state indicates both Lincoln's unpopularity and the clout that leftist groups still have. 10:23 p.m. ET: With 49% of the precincts in, incumbent Arkansas Democratic Senator Blanche Lincoln is leading her primary challenger, Bill Halter, by only two points, 51-49%. Despite Lincoln's lead, the trend is in Halter's favor. As we reported earlier, Halter, the lieutenant governor, is a creation of left-wing political groups and public-service unions. Arkansas is the last place you'd expect a guy like that to win, but remember that this is a Democratic primary. 9:53 p.m. ET: Polls close in Nevada in seven minutes. The key race will decide who will face Senate Majority Leader Harry "Mr. Excitement" Reid in November. Polls close in just over an hour in hugely important California, where GOP candidates for governor and U.S. senator are being chosen. 9:52 p.m. ET: In Arkansas, with 20% of the vote in, incumbent Dem. Senator Blanche Lincoln is only leading her primary challenger, Lt. Gov. Bill Halter by four points, 52-48%. Looks like a long night. 9:46 p.m. ET: Associated Press is declaring that Nikki Haley will not get the 50% needed to avoid a June 22nd runoff for the GOP gubernatorial nomination in South Carolina. However, with about 84% of the vote in, Haley has 48%, her nearest competitor 21%, so Haley is pretty much assured of winning the nomination in two weeks, unless the charges of marital infidelity she's battled during the primary can be proved by 3-D videotape. 9:22 p.m. ET: With 70% of the votes in, Nikki Haley has 49% of the vote in the South Carolina GOP gubernatorial primary, just short of the 50% needed to avoid a runoff against Gresham Barrett, who has 21%. 9:02 p.m. ET: With only four precincts in, incumbent Senator Blanche Lincoln, generally a moderate, leads Lt. Gov. Bill Halter, 54-46%, for the Democratic Senate nomination. Halter is a creation of unions and leftist activist groups. 8:52 p.m. ET: With 42% of the vote in, Nikki Haley continues leading with 46% of the vote in the South Carolina GOP gubernatorial primary. Gresham Barrett has 25%. But, as we've said, Haley needs 50% to avoid a runoff. 8:38 p.m. ET: With 28% of the vote in, Palin-endorsed Nikki Haley is well ahead with 46% of the vote. Her nearest competitor is Gresham Barrett, with 24%. But Haley needs 50% to avoid a runoff. She's been harassed by charges of marital infidelity, but polls do not show that the charges have hurt her. She is from a family that immigrated from India. 8:36 p.m. ET: Polls in Arkansas have just closed. This runoff will decide the fate of Democratic Senator Blanche Lincoln. See our post, "The Liberal Sandbox," below.
THE LIBERAL SANDBOX – AT 7:23 P.M. ET: Don't you love it when politicians fight over nothing, like an almost-worthless Senate nomination? Watch that play out tonight in Arkansas. Incumbent Democratic Senator Blanche Lincoln is in the fight of her life, competing in a runoff for renomination against Lt. Gov. Bill Halter. What makes the race interesting is that Halter is running well to Lincoln's left in a decidedly unliberal state. He is a creature of a national campaign organized by ultra-lefty MoveOn.org, one of the most oddly named political groups I've ever seen, and major public-employee unions, determined to punish Lincoln for frugal thoughts. Lincoln has not been an outstanding senator. Representing a state with little in common with New York, Massachusetts or California, she's had to balance the required moderation with the demands of a "progressive" national party. She usually winds up botching it, but has tried to appear at least somewhat centrist. That is not sufficient for the party's ultras, who prefer candidates with the mentality of Japanese kamikaze pilots. Just crash your campaign. You will meet Karl Marx in socialist heaven, which is located above Sweden. So Halter, beneficiary of a huge national effort, and funding to match, may actually win the Deem runoff tonight. But then comes November. Republican candidate John Bozeman is well ahead of both Lincoln and Halter in the polls. Someone would have to prove that Bozeman does strange things with antelopes to dent his lead. So the Deem nomination, decided tonight, will probably be worthless. But if Lincoln is defeated, the crazies in the party will have proved their clout. They're willing to destroy the house just to prevent anyone else from living in it. They've gotten behind Halter as a warning to anyone who plans on challenging the public-employee unions. After all, why stop at bankrupting New York and California? June 8, 2010 Permalink
WAKE UP, BARACK – AT 9:53 A.M. ET: One thing about weakness in foreign policy – it produces immediate results. Barack Obama, bringer of peace and good will, hasn't quite cut it on the international circuit, and others are filling in the vacuum that he leaves. From The New York Times:
When will Barack Hussein Obama Jr. realize that Turkey is no longer an ally, but an increasingly Islamic state, that relations with Russia have not been "reset," and that Iran will not change a thing? He will probably never realize these things because Obama's beliefs amount to a religion, not subject to facts, judgment or maturity. The president increasingly acts like a character in "Hair."
Yes, sanctions will probably be voted on at the UN this week. But what kind of sanctions? It is highly unlikely that anything acceptable to China and Russia, who have veto power, would have any effect on the Iranians. Other nations have sensed Obama's weakness, his Carteresque foreign policy, and are establishing their own arrangements. But Obama hosts really good music concerts at the White House. June 8, 2010 Permalink WHERE IS HE NOW? – AT 9:14 A.M. ET: We cannot confirm this story, but there have been other stories to this effect, and I think it's wise to present it as part of the conversation. The translation comes from MEMRI:
COMMENT: If true, and we stress that we can't back it up, that might explain the baffling disappearance of bin Laden from Afghanistan, and our difficulty in finding him. This is absolutely intriguing, and I hope journalists pursue it. If Iran is protecting bin Laden, it will challenge the conventional wisdom about relations between terrorists and their supporters. June 8, 2010 Permalink OFF THEIR MEDS AGAIN – AT 8:53 A.M. ET: The "progressive" movement in America can be compared to a rejected suitor who stalks a woman thinking that, if he's around enough, she'll come to love him. Don't these people get the message? From WaPo:
These are the kind of people who'd rather have a pure nothing than an impure 50%.
If this woman hadn't married the fabulously wealthy Mr. Huffington, and gotten a huge divorce settlement, do you think she'd be anybody?
Yeah, right. The Gulf oil spill was caused by bipartisanship. The American people will really believe that. And the environmental extremists, who force oil companies to drill in dangerously deep water, where accidents are more likely, have no blame at all. This is pathetic stuff. This crowd represents maybe 20% of the electorate, but they truly believe that the army of the people is behind them, marching forward, chanting odes to tofu. The problem is that these people have an inordinate influence in education, which is why we must still be on guard for our future. They grab our kids and teach them. Otherwise, the "progressive" movement, which isn't very progressive, is perpetually out of synch with America. June 8, 2010 Permalink A JOKE – AT 8:37 A.M. ET: There's this rich guy in Australia who wants to do good, and started this foundation that rates countries according to their peacefulness. You know exactly what's coming, don't you? From the Washington Times:
Well, we know exactly where these chaps are coming from. Military expenditures make a country less peaceful. No, military expenditures, when correctly applied, help keep the peace. Most people with a mental age above 12 understand that. Unfortunately, that rules out a number of the world's self-proclaimed "intellectuals."
Look at that list of peace-loving states. Can't wait to settle down in peace-loving Libya, China, and Cuba. Might even live to see an election.
When countries don't have external challenges, when they appease threatening immigrant populations, when they choose not to live up to their international responsibilities, they sure can seem "peaceful." And some of those, like Denmark, are fine countries. Others, like Sweden, are "peaceful" because they don't lift a finger to keep international peace, and buy off their own populations.
That tells the story. Put Iraq, now a liberated and struggling country, in last place. Must slap down those Americans. And of course, Israel, with one of the lowest crime rates in the world, must also be near last, to satisfy the international left. The sad thing is that lists like this are believed. They're read in "intellectual" and academic circles, and reprinted in magazines. It's interesting how low we rank after 17 months of Obama. I guess he hasn't made that much of an impression. June 8, 2010 Permalink
AS MICHIGAN GOES? – AT 8:13 A.M. ET: Michael Barone examines his home state of Michigan as a possible bellwether for national politics, and finds the results troubling for the Democrats. Michigan, with its auto industry, has been severely hit by the national recession. Its governor is an Obama-supporting Democrat.
The standard analysis fails:
And...
And most important:
Yes, I'm afraid we see it here in New York: Liberals of a certain class continue to cling to Obama the way they cling to global warming and the UN. New York is losing more residents through out-migration than any other state, because of high taxes and high living costs, its state government is collapsing, and its political leadership is a joke...but liberal Democrats remain near shoo-ins for high state offices. In New York, liberalism is the state religion. We hope trends in Michigan point the way to the future, and that New York and California fall, politically I mean, into the sea. June 8, 2010 Permalink
MONDAY, JUNE 7, 2010 PRIMARIES TOMORROW – AT 8:16 P.M. ET: Don't forget that there are major primaries tomorrow in California, Nevada, Arkansas, and South Carolina. The California GOP will nominate candidates for governor and U.S. senator, and it's possible that a female team of Meg Whitman (gov) and Carly Fiorina (Senate) will be leading the ticket in November. In Nevada, Republicans will nominate a candidate to run against Harry "Mr. Excitement" Reid, the Senate majority leader. In Arkansas, Democratic incumbent Senator Blanche Lincoln is trying to beat off a challenge from her political left, mounted by labor unions. In South Carolina, we'll see if Palin-endorsed candidate Nikki Haley can overcome charges of marital infidelity to become the GOP gubernatorial candidate. If she wins, and wins in November, the GOP will have two southern governors who are children of immigrants from India. Take that, liberals. We'll be here monitoring the returns as they come in, and live blogging. June 7, 2010 Permalink
AND THE TERROR BEAT GOES ON – AT 7:56 P.M. ET: Apparently, not all Americans visiting Yemen are tourists or religious pilgrims. From Fox:
COMMENT: We're glad that some progress is being made in rounding up suspects, but it does seem to me that we've seen a marked increase in terror activity since Barack Obama took office. This is another example. The war against terror, even though the phrase has been banned by the Obamans, is far from over. It may just be starting. June 7, 2010 Permalink DING DONG THE WITCH IS DEAD – AT 7:26 P.M. ET: Helen Thomas has resigned from Hearst, following her crazed, bigoted remarks about Jews, and the uproar they caused. The White House, to its credit, denounced the remarks today. But don't think Helen will be without defenders. She'll probably become a martyr. Maybe they'll name one of those Gaza "relief" ships for her. She can sail on it herself, offering to take candy to Gaza and Jews back to Poland and Germany. And already some of the leftists in the press are out, pleading for mercy for Helen. It's the usual suspects, Katrina vanden Heuvel, Ellen Ratner. Janeane Garofolo will undoubtedly be heard from. And we'll no doubt get the "free speech" brigades on the left, who believe that any criticism of a leftist is a violation of the individual's free speech. But she's gone. And we should be grateful for that. She should have been gone 20 years ago. A White House birthday party for her, celebrating her 90th birthday, has been canceled. June 7, 2010 Permalink
COMING SOON TO A GOVERNMENT NEAR YOU – AT 9:56 A.M. ET: Well, at least there's one leader who'll tell it like it is:
COMMENT: Let's see how the British people take this. The left over there, and over here, would rather lead a country to ruin than see any social program cut. Britain's future lies in the balance. Of course, there are actually two Britains. There's the Britain of Winston Churchill, and the Britain of Neville Chamberlain, the Britain of raw guts, and the Britain of the nanny state. Cameron is off to a good start, with the blunt, hard truth. He may put Obama to shame. Well, that's not much of a standard, is it? June 7, 2010 Permalink
WILL THERE BE MITCH MANIA? – AT 9:23 A.M. ET: Republican Governor Mitch Daniels of Indiana is one of the nation's best governors. He is also hugely popular in his home state. And there is buzz about the presidency in 2012. From The Politico:
COMMENT: Daniels is a fascinating guy whose smallish frame and understated style remind us of another famous Hoosier, the World War II correspondent Ernie Pyle. And Indiana seems to be doing pretty well, compared with other states that are near bankruptcy. Daniels has some negatives, though. I heard him speak in New York recently, and the speech was, frankly, dull. Now, that could actually work in Mitch's favor if he's presented as the competent, no-flash candidate. Problem is, the flash candidate usually wins, especially when the flash is named Obama. I'd like to see Daniels run, though. Let's see how voters react to an all-business, no-show-business candidate with a proved record. Hey, you never know. And you won't find a more capable guy. June 7, 2010 Permalink TIME TO GO, HELEN – AT 8:41 A.M. ET: Well, at least some people have a moral compass. Vulgar senior White House correspondent Helen Thomas has been dropped by her speaking service. And a high school in the Washington area has dropped her from its graduation ceremony. This comes in the aftermath of Thomas's anti-Semitic remarks, caught on tape. It's time for Thomas to resign quietly and be gone. I doubt if that will happen. Anti-Christian and anti-Semitic remarks have become accepted by a certain trendy segment of American society in recent years. Jesse Jackson, in 1984, referred to Jews as hymies and New York as hymietown, and survived quite well. The current president ridiculed Americans who "cling to their guns and their religion," meaning the Christian faith, and he got elected. The nation's elites seem to be upset only by bigoted comments directed against groups popular on the political left. Arizona is called "racist" for passing an anti-illegal immigration law that actual provides all kinds of civil-liberties safeguards. And yet, it is perfectly acceptable in some circles to make the worst comments about Cuban-Americans, among our hardest-working and most patriotic citizens. Cuban Americans are perceived as anti-Castro, a sin in leftist circles. Helen Thomas's disgusting call for Israeli Jews to "go home" to Poland and Germany, where the Holocaust took place, is even more sinister than it seems. Remarks like that are part of an international campaign to delegitimize the state of Israel by denying that Jews have a history there. But many of the same forces behind this campaign are also militantly anti-Christian. After all, if Jews have no history in Israel then, by definition, Christianity was never invented, since there could not have been a Jew named Jesus. There is actually a textbook floating around in some American schools that describes Jesus as "a Palestinian," an absurd concept, but one that strips him of both Judaism and Christianity. The hard left's war against Western religion is fought in many ways. Some are coming to the surface. We await the moment when President Obama calls on Helen Thomas at a news conference. June 7, 2010 Permalink
ANOTHER ACHIEVEMENT TO BE PROUD OF – AT 8:30 A.M. ET: From Bloomberg:
COMMENT: Well now look, stop complaining. Please remember that all that spending is for the children. Oh, wait. The children will be paying for it. Well now look, who needs children? Remember the classic tactic, developed by Marxists in the late fifties and early sixties: Wreck the system. Bring it down by flooding it, overburdening it. Then pick up the pieces and create the Marxist paradise on Earth. Why is it that, the more I see of Obama and his program, the more I see those tactics at work? No, no, I must not think such thoughts. Christiane Amanpour wouldn't approve. June 7, 2010 Permalink MISSING IN INACTION – AT 8:12 A.M. ET: There was a D-Day ceremony yesterday in the Virginia town that paid the highest price in casualties on that day:
COMMENT: Absent: President Barack Obama, who apparently couldn't be inconvenienced while preparing for last night's music festival at Ford's Theater, his second musical gala of the week. Gotta hear that beat. Obama could have gone to Bedford. He should've been there. Of course, he should have been at Arlington on Memorial Day as well. And he should have been at the Gulf spill many days earlier. This man has gotten too many passes. June 7, 2010 Permalink
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