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TUESDAY, APRIL 20, 2010 RUMBLINGS – AT 8:02 P.M. ET: In the post just below we reported on a revolt within the Democratic Party over immigration reform. But that is small when compared to the larger revolt brewing over Iran. This morning we noted that a leaked Defense Department document predicts that Iran may well have an ICBM capable of hitting the U.S. by 2015. Over the weekend we learned, from another leak, that Secretary of Defense Bob Gates had warned the White House in January that this country does not have a strategic plan to deal with a nuclear Iran. I doubt if these leaks are coincidental. One senses that a power center has opened up in the Defense Department, at odds with the prevailing wisdom (or ignorance) of the Obama administration that Iran can be managed through "outreach." An insurrection like this is fairly common in American history. We've gone through periods when military men are at odds with the administration, or, more often, with each other. And the grinding of the parts can be heard throughout Washington. We had Billy Mitchell's revolt in the 1920s, on behalf of greater development of air power. Mitchell, although court-martialed for insubordination, was proved correct We had the "revolt of the admirals" in the late 1940s, when senior Navy brass balked at plans to reduce this country's dependence on aircraft carriers. They also were proved correct. We had the Army revolt in the 1950s, against a president who'd been a five-star general, over the so-called "new look" in defense, which reduced emphasis on ground forces. We later learned, to our pain, that dependence on ground forces was still critical in any conflict. Now there's a new rumbling. The critics have ready allies in the Republican Party and amidst the conservative punditry. One thing to look for in the coming months is the position of Gates within the administration. It's pretty clear that he has some doubts about Obama's direction. Besides questions about Iran, it's well known that Gates fought hard for a new generation of nuclear warheads, and was rebuffed. Will Gates survive? Will he be forced out and replaced by a compliant airhead like Chuck Hagel? Or will his hand be strengthened by events? Obama probably understands that he's seen as a weak president on defense matters. That image could erode further if he tries to force out a respected defense secretary. On the other hand, Obama has shown himself to be pretty ruthless, and a semi-skilled player at Chicago-style politics. Stay tuned. This could get very interesting, and dangerous. April 21, 2010 Permalink
FEAR HIM NOT – AT 7:44 P.M. ET: President Obama must now put down a revolt within his own party, and instigated by a fellow Illinoisan. The cause? Immigration reform, one of the most boiling of the hot-button issues. The revolt demonstrates that people in his own party no longer fear Obama, a weakening president. From Fox:
When a Chicago Democrat threatens to hold back voters, dead ones or living ones, that is news.
COMMENT: Now it is true that Gutierrez is a firebrand, somewhat to the left of Vlad Lenin, but this challenge to the president is extraordinary, especially coming from a representative of a sympathetic ethnic caucus. Politicians can sense weakness and vulnerability. It is being sensed. April 21, 2010 Permalink GEORGE W. BUSH SPEAKS – AT 2:52 P.M. ET: And it's a breath of fresh air. George Bush left office reviled by the elites and even by the voters. But his wisdom, often expressed in rough-hewn language, is showing itself. He was far from a perfect president, but compared to what we have now, well... From Contentions:
Unfortunately, that is not language used by this White House.
He was referring to the appeasement Democrats and the Ron Paul "Republicans."
COMMENT: I wish the former president would speak out more frequently, and make a major speech on foreign policy. He's very much the gentleman, and wants to give Obama a chance, but there should be limits. April 20, 2010 Permalink RUDY DOES THE RIGHT THING – AT 2:38 P.M. ET: There is growing concern in sane circles about the Kentucky GOP primary for the U.S. Senate. It features a responsible guy against a guy who, well, may need some help with reality. From The Politico:
Rand Paul is the son of the certifiable Congressman Ron Paul of Texas. Ron Paul, who runs as a Republican, really isn't. He's a hopeless reactionary who would drag the GOP back to its dark, isolationist days. True conservatives run from him, and are now running from his son.
Santorum's endorsement should ease any conservative concerns. He doesn't give endorsements freely.
That is the sad part. Either there's a pretty hopeless faction of the GOP at work here, or voters just haven't concentrated yet on the campaign. Also, in a rare but major political blunder, Sarah Palin endorsed Rand Paul early, apparently unaware of his national-security views, which are much more consistent with the far left than with the Republican Party. Sarah should withdraw her endorsement. As for Bunning's endorsement of Paul, it's meaningless. Bunning was pressured by the GOP establishment to vacate his Senate seat, and this is retaliation. We cannot blindly support anyone with the Republican label, and we will not. Rand Paul, because of his national-security views, does not belong in the Senate, and the people of Kentucky should not send him there. There are other Republicans who worry us as well. There is a small, but influential faction within the conservative movement that rejects Ronald Reagan's world view. Be careful of them. April 20, 2010 Permalink GOP ROMPS IN RASMUSSEN POLL – AT 9:52 A.M. ET: Scott Rasmussen has been tracking the generic Republican vs. Democrat ratings, and finds the GOP in a strong position:
COMMENT: Other polling organizations show lower numbers. Gallup has the GOP generic lead at three points. We lean toward Rasmussen because he polls likely voters rather than registered voters or all adults, and we've found the likelies give the most accurate result. Obviously, if Ras's numbers hold, that could mean a landslide. But the election is more than six months away. And the Dem fear machine is getting revved up. April 20, 2010 Permalink
OBAMA DOES IT AGAIN – AT 9:32 A.M. ET: You have to admire the man's consistency. When it comes to insulting allies, Barack Obama is the champ. The man never fails. He is The One, and very possibly godlike...in this little area. You'll recall that Mr. Outreach was scheduled to attend the funerals of Poland's president and first lady, killed in an air crash last week. But the ash cloud over Europe, we were told, forced the leader of the free world to cancel his trip. And what did he do as a substitute? Memorial service in Washington? Solemn trip to the Polish embassy? Speech on TV to the Polish people? Nah. That's so old-time. When Barack Obama has some free hours, he plays golf. Publicly. Photo ops for the press. That certainly went down well in Poland: From the Warsaw Business Journal:
Look, someone explain to these people: Our president doesn't do trains. Not cool, not cool. And there's no golf on the train. COMMENT: Again, Obama shows his disregard for America's friends. We're told that America's image in the world has improved since the president took office. I'd like to see the internals of those polls and find out exactly who's saying what. I'll be willing to bet that the Brits, the French, the Israelis, the Japanese, the Indians, the Canadians, the Poles and the Czechs aren't jumping up and down with glee. But he's very large in Yemen. April 20, 2010 Permalink
PRIMARY NEWS – AT 8:43 A.M. ET: Florida's Republican Governor Charlie Crist has confirmed publicly what everyone knew, that he's weighing an independent bid for the U.S. Senate, now that his primary campaign against Marco Rubio is sinking. From AP:
Major Republicans are jumping ship on Crist. Mitt Romney endorsed Rubio yesterday, as if anyone cares at this late date. Once again Romney looks like the guy who waits until the water is 75 degrees to jump in. But a word of caution: Charlie Crist is the sitting Republican governor. By most accounts, he's done a credible job. A year ago he was considered a shoo-in for the Senate nomination. This is a time for his opponents within the GOP to be magnanimous. If the Republicans want to start eating their own, the way Democrats tried to eat Joe Lieberman in Connecticut, they could wind up with an independent Senator Crist. Treat Crist with respect, while urging him to stand aside and wait for a better day. He still has many supporters among Florida Republicans. Turning him into an enemy with demeaning or insulting remarks makes no sense. April 20, 2010 Permalink AND NOW FOR THE REAL THREAT – AT 8:27 A.M. ET: As Iran works on its nuclear program, it's simultaneously developing a chilling array of missiles. Even if never used, these weapons are great persuaders, especially to nations in the region that don't have them:
Worrisome, to put it mildly. I'm actually more concerned, in operational terms, about a bomb slipped into an American harbor and detonated by a suicide crew. But the missiles will give Iran a negotiating clout and feeling of immunity that most nations only dream of. And then of course there's this:
I love it. Even this report goes PC, referring to a "deterrent strategy." I'm not concerned about Iran's deterrent strategy. I'm concerned about its offensive ability, and the potential willingness of a fanatical religious regime to use it. I wonder how the White House will react to this report. I suspect they'll assure an apprehensive nation that "talks" are underway and "options" are being reviewed. Sleep well tonight. April 20, 2010 Permalink QUOTE OF THE DAY – AT 8:08 A.M. ET: From Byron York of the Washington Examiner, on the attempt to brand all tea partiers as violent racists:
COMMENT: York points out that former President Bill Clinton is the "leading voice" of this ugly narrative, Clinton suggesting that the political tone of the tea partiers reminds him of the days leading up to the 1995 Oklahoma City bombing. York also points out that the Southern Poverty Law Center, which "monitors" extremist activity, is consistently warning that the threat of violence is growing. SPLC has done some good work, but it raises its funds by scaring people, and the "growing threat" picture is at the heart of the scare. In fact, it took no mass political movement for Tim McVeigh to bomb the Murrah building in Oklahoma City. And the threat that's been growing in America is the threat of Islamic extremism. There are certainly hate groups on the right fringe, but what strikes us in the years since Oklahoma City is their (thank goodness) relative ineffectiveness. Clearly, the ones who are violence-prone must be watched, but to compare the tea partiers to these elements is disgraceful. April 20, 2010 Permalink
MONDAY, APRIL 19, 2010 IS THIS SERIOUS? – AT 9:38 P.M. ET: Once again we see how this White House treats the citizenry. Level with us? Are you kidding? From Fox:
Not under consideration? Then where did all this talk about VAT come from? Did the tooth fairy deliver it last night?
Oh, now I understand. Volcker had gone batty and The Times made up the story. Sure, sure. I get it.
I'd love to know how many readers believe that last statement.
COMMENT: It's reached the point where you can't believe anything this administration says. I think in semi-totalitarian countries they call this "guided democracy." Elect them, then they guide you, whether you want to be guided or not. Welcome to our children's future. April 19, 2010 Permalink GETTING THE FACTS ON FORT HOOD – AT 7:29 P.M. ET: It hasn't been easy. The Fort Hood shootings on November 5th, 2009, in which an Army major with ties to Islamic extremists murdered 13 Americans, was a major terror event. You'd never know it by some of the reaction. At first the usual suspects in the media played it down, preferring the "narrative" that this was an "isolated incident," like the other several dozen "isolated incidents" involving Islamic extremists that have occurred in the United States since 9-11. Amazing how isolated these people are. Then President Obama, in another expression of his great compassion, brilliance, and wisdom, cautioned us not to "jump to conclusions," even though the conclusions didn't require much jumping. And then the administration started stonewalling Congress. Washington Post reports:
Now we're getting serious. The Democratic Party tried to destroy Joe Lieberman. Fortunately, they failed. And Susan Collins has been stalwart on this.
Of course they don't. Getting at the facts might "offend" the wrong people, with their delicate sensitivities. April 19, 2010 Permalink NEW RIGHTS ALERT – AT 7:18 P.M. ET: We provide this as a service for any readers who might be looking for new rights to assert here in the backward, militaristic, tea-partying USA, which doesn't yet have the progressive touch of Europe. From The Sunday Times (London):
COMMENT: I'd like a subsidized trip to Disney World to explore the cultural aspects of Mickey Mouse. After that, I want a subsidized trip to European Union headquarters in Brussels to examine exactly what a Mickey Mouse outfit looks like. If you have a suggestion for new rights that we at Urgent Agenda might advocate, please let us know. April 19, 2010 Permalink BE QUIET, BUBBA. JUST BE QUIET – AT 9:57 A.M. ET: Former President Clinton, who's become increasingly foolish recently, now seems to have a big problem with American democracy:
You know, all this election stuff. They don't do it in the really chic places, like Saudi Arabia.
Well, then, we'll just have to have more earthquakes. We must keep the guy busy.
Yeah, bubba, but the problem is this: In a lot of those countries you like, everything is beyond politics. You're showing your sixties mentality again.
Brilliant concept. Stronger. More cohesive. I never would have thought of that. Recently, we've caught Clinton again trying to link the tea party movement with the threat of domestic terrorism. And he's lecturing us on high-decibel political fights? Look, when you've got Hillary at home, who needs more combative voices? Right? April 19, 2010 Permalink
OBAMA AND AMATEURISM – AT 9:21 A.M. ET: Joel Mowbray, one of the best diplomatic reporters around, examines President Obama's amateurish approach to Middle East peace, and explains why it's headed for the junk heap of history:
Then why is Obama pursuing this pipe dream? Left-wing ideology. And...
That's something the in-the-tank media would like to forget. Every time peace appears to be near, Islamic terrorism has actually increased. What the Obamans can't accept is that our enemies are opposed to a peace agreement, not for it.
The answer should be obvious...if one cares about the facts. If one cares only about ideology, the answer becomes blurred. And Obama's Mideast policy is one big blur. April 19, 2010 Permalink CALIFORNIA, HERE HE COMES – AT 8:52 A.M. ET: As a former California governor might have said, "There he goes again." President Obama is flying out for a visit...but not to the people of the state. From Andrew Malcolm at the L.A. Times's Top of the Ticket blog:
Let 'em eat cake...dietetic of course.
COMMENT: That's $17,600 for dinner...for one. Does your spouse get half off? I heard there were coupons. Let us remember that the Democrats are the party of the people. Of course, they don't say which people, but the dinner tab should tell us that. April 19, 2010 Permalink AMERICANS INCREASINGLY SKEPTICAL OF GOVERNMENT – AT 8:25 A.M. ET: You know, it's really amazing when Americans show so little gratitude toward Nancy Pelosi, Harry Reid and Barney Frank. I don't know what kind of country we're becoming. Shouldn't we be thanking our public representatives for doing all those wonderful things they do? Well, maybe not. From Andrew Kohut in the Wall Street Journal:
And...
COMMENT: Republicans tend to rejoice in polls that show Americans want smaller government, but the Wall Street finding must be a wake-up call to the GOP as well. Voters are furious, understandably, with Wall Street. A number of conservative commentators, usually wary of regulation, are urging the party to participate actively in tightening federal oversight of the Wall Street casino. Americans will no longer accept love letters to "the free enterprise system" as a substitute. What has been happening on Wall Street often has nothing to do with "free enterprise," and everything to do with gimmickry, legal stealing, and a mocking of the market. And remember, these "capitalists" were the first to come hat-in-hand to the government for bailouts when they got into well-deserved trouble. Some free enterprise. As we've said repeatedly here, Republicans will have to earn their victory in November, not simply assume it. They must show that they can be problem solvers, not just the party of "no." April 19, 2010 Permalink
OUR CULTURALLY SENSITIVE PRESIDENT – AT 8:12 A.M. ET: President Obama was scheduled to fly to Warsaw yesterday to attend the funerals of Poland's president and first lady. But the ash cloud over Europe made flying impossible, so Obama cancelled. Now, common sense tells us that the president should have extended some gesture to the Polish people to substitute for his presence in Warsaw. Holding a service at the White House would've been nice, and respectful. Or, going to the Polish embassy and delivering a eulogy might've worked. But this was Poland, a friend, not an enemy. Who needs 'em? From the Washington Times:
COMMENT: We like to think that presidents grow in office. This one shrinks. April 19, 2010 Permalink
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