2010 ALL OVER? – AT 7:51 A.M. ET: Although some Republicans are flashing gloom over the state of the presidential race, others are finding signs that maybe our side is in better shape than the mainstream media is telling us. From the Weekly Standard:
For all of the wishful thinking in the mainstream press about President Obama’s positioning 40 days before this election, Obama’s approval rating looks remarkably similar to what it was on this date in 2010 — shortly before his party lost a historic 63 House seats and 6 Senate seats. On September 27, 2010 — exactly two years ago — Rasmussen Reports showed Obama’s net approval rating among likely voters to be minus-3 percentage points (with 48 percent approving and 51 percent disapproving). Among those who felt “strongly,” Obama’s net approval rating was minus-14 points (with 27 percent “strongly” approving and 41 percent “strongly” disapproving).
Today, Rasmussen Reports shows Obama’s net approval rating among likely voters to be minus-3 points (with 48 percent approving and 51 percent disapproving). Among those who feel “strongly,” Obama’s net approval rating is minus-14 points (with 28 percent “strongly” approving and 42 percent “strongly” disapproving). So, two years after the biggest Republican gains in the House since before World War II, Americans remain every bit as unimpressed with the way Obama is handling his job as president as they were then.
COMMENT: That's utterly fascinating, and I hope it portends good things for our side. But caution is in order. A presidential race is a matchup between two specific candidates, and people can wind up voting for the one they consider the lesser of two evils, or simply one who is closer to them "culturally."
We will only know after election day which polls were accurate. In the meantime, Romney has to fight as if he's 20 points behind.
What is remarkable is how low Obama's approval has been for so long. This country is ready for a change. It has to be convinced that Romney is the right change. First debate Monday night.
September 28, 2012