William Katz:  Urgent Agenda

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SECOND BULLETIN – AT 9:03 A.M. ET:  Can it happen?  A last-minute Massachusetts poll shows Scott Brown one point ahead of Elizabeth (put it on the drums) Warren in their Senate race, contradicting some polls last week that showed Warren slightly ahead.

The bruising Massachusetts Senate battle between Republican Scott Brown and Democrat Elizabeth Warren is deadlocked just hours before Election Day, with both the candidates and the voters suffering from a barrage of attack ads, a new UMass Lowell/Boston Herald poll reveals.

The poll shows Brown holding a 49-48 percent advantage over Warren among likely voters, dispelling earlier polls and Democratic claims of a small Warren lead. The one-point lead is well within the poll’s 4.1 percent margin of error.

Brown held a four-point lead among likely voters in a UMass Lowell/Herald poll in mid-September, but the Harvard Law professor has closed that gap as more Democratic voters have moved to her side.

COMMENT:  We stress that this is one poll, and that the Herald is a conservative paper.  But we think Brown has a shot, if the stars align, and if a last-minute surge for Romney cuts Obama's lead in Massachusetts.

November 5, 2012