William Katz:  Urgent Agenda

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HOW VOTERS SEE OBAMA AND ROMNEY – AT 10:17 A.M. ET:   Today's Rasmussen tracker has Romney up four over Obama.

As Rasmussen says, "Romney’s has lead by four or five points for three consecutive days. That’s the largest advantage enjoyed by either candidate in over a month. As with any such change in the race, it remains to be seen whether it marks a lasting shift or is merely statistical noise."

In addition, Rasmussen finds these beliefs about the candidates:

A president’s Job Approval rating is one of the best indicators for assessing his chances of reelection. Typically, the president’s Job Approval rating on Election Day will be close to the share of the vote he receives. Currently, 47% of voters say they at least somewhat approve of the president's job performance. Fifty-three percent (53%) at least somewhat disapprove.

Seventy percent (70%) of voters see Obama as politically liberal, while 67% see Romney as a conservative. However, the president is seen as more extreme ideologically. Forty-three percent (43%) see him as Very Liberal, while just 24% believe Romney is Very Conservative. Most voters are either politically Moderate or Somewhat Conservative. Sixty-two percent (62%) place Romney in that group while just 25% say the same for Obama.

Not good news for Obama.  And remember that Rasmussen polls likely voters, the most accurate type of poll. 

July 28,  2012