REVERSAL (CONT'D) – AT 8:12 A.M. ET:  Last night we told you that Patty Murray, Democratic senator from Washington state, was improving dramatically in the polls, and that West Virginia was also, in its Senate race, moving toward the Democratic column.

We hate to report somber news, but we have to.  This morning's RealClearPolitics Senate-race summary reflects some Democratic progress.  A few days ago, RCP had the projected Senate tied at 48-48, with four toss ups.  That's now changed to 48 Dems, 46 Republicans, with six toss ups.

The toss ups are:  California, Colorado, Illinois, Nevada, Washington, and West Virginia. 

The problem here is that all six could easily go Democratic, leaving the GOP with a gain of only five seats in the new Senate, not exactly what we've dreamed about. 

There are also some expected GOP House victories suddenly in jeopardy, both in Ohio.  In one case the candidate was caught wearing Nazi uniforms in "reenactments."  Real smart.  Get yourself photographed in Nazi garb and try to explain it during a campaign.

We hope for better news.  We have less than three weeks to go.  This is the period when the electorate starts to focus strongly on the election.  Things are fluid.  Take nothing for granted.

October 14, 2010